DISASTER RISK ANALYSIS LAB
Creating probabilistic methods to make our cities more resilient

External Citation Information: [Google Scholar] [ResearchGate]
Journal Publications
2023
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Arora, P., Ceferino, L. Probabilistic and Machine Learning Methods for Uncertainty Quantification in Power Outage Prediction due to Extreme Events. [Preprint]
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Ceferino, L., & Lin, N. Hurricane Risk of Solar Generation in the United States. [Preprint].
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Avraam, C., Ceferino, L., Dvorkin, Y. Operational and Economy-Wide Impacts of Compound Cyberattacks and Extreme Weather Events on Electric Power Networks. [Preprint]
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Ceferino, L., Lin, N., & Xi, D. (2023). Bayesian Updating of Solar Panel Fragility Curves and Implications of Higher Panel Strength for Solar Generation Resilience. Reliability Engineering and Structural Safety, 229, 108896. [Link]
2022
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I. Alisjahbana, L. Ceferino, and A. Kiremidjian. (2022). “Prioritized reconstruction of healthcare facilities after earthquakes based on recovery of emergency services,” Risk Analysis, pp. 1-16. [Link]
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Mota, R., Ferreira, N., Silva, J. D., Horga, M., Lage, M., Ceferino, L., Alim, U., Sharlin, E. & Miranda, F. (2022) A Comparison of Spatiotemporal Visualizations for 3D Urban Analytics. IEEE transactions on visualization and computer graphics, PP. [Link]
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Hariri-Ardebili, M.A.; Sattar, S.; Johnson, K.; Clavin, C.; Fung, J.; Ceferino, L (2022). A Perspective towards Multi-Hazard Resilient Systems: Natural Hazards and Pandemics. Sustainability, 14, 4508. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Lin, N., & Xi, D. (2022). Stochastic Modeling of Solar Irradiance during Hurricanes. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Analysis, 36, 2681–2693. [Link]
2021
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Ceferino, L., Galvez, P., Ampuero, J., Kiremidjian, A., Deierlein, G., & Villegas-Lanza, J. C. (2021). Bayesian parameter estimation for space and time interacting earthquake rupture model using historical and physics-based simulated earthquake catalogs. Bulletin of Seismological Society of America, 111 (6), 3356-3373 [Link] [Preprint][Data+Code]
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Patel, S., Ceferino, L., Liu, C., Kiremidjian, A., & Rajagopal, R. (2021). The Disaster Resilience Value of Shared Rooftop Solar in Residential Communities. Earthquake Spectra, 37 (4), 2638-2661 [Link][Preprint][Code]
2020
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Ceferino, L., Mitrani, J., Kiremidjian, A., Deierlein, G., & Bambarén, C. (2020). Effective Plans for Hospital System Response to Earthquake Emergencies. Nature Communications, 11, 4325 [Link][Data+Code]
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Ceferino, L., Kiremidjian, A., & Deierlein, G. (2020). Probabilistic space- and time-interaction modeling of mainshock earthquake rupture occurrence. Bulletin of Seismological Society of America, 110 (5), 2498–2518. [Link][Preprint] [Data+Code]
2018
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Markhvida, M., Ceferino, L., and Baker, J. W. (2018). Modeling spatially correlated spectral accelerations at multiple periods using principal component analysis and geostatistics. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 47(5), 1107–1123. [Link] [Simlation code] [Correlation model]
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Ceferino, Luis, Anne Kiremidjian, and Gregory Deierlein. (2018) "Regional Multiseverity Casualty Estimation Due to Building Damage Following a Mw 8.8 Earthquake Scenario in Lima, Peru." Earthquake Spectra 34 (4), 1739-1761. [Link] [Data+Code]
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Ceferino, Luis, Anne Kiremidjian, and Greg Deierlein. "Probabilistic model for regional multiseverity casualty estimation due to building damage following an earthquake." ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering. 4 (3), 04018023. [Link]
2017
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Noh, H.-Y., Kiremidjian, A., Ceferino, L., & So, E. (2017). Bayesian Updating of Earthquake Vulnerability Functions with Application to Mortality Rates. Earthquake Spectra, 33 (3), 1173–1189. [Link]
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Lallemant, D., Burton, H., Ceferino, L., Bullock, Z., & Kiremidjian, A. (2017). A Framework and Case Study for Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment of Incrementally Expanding Buildings. Earthquake Spectra, 33 (4), 1369–1384. [Link]
2013
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Zavala, C., Gibu, P., Lavado, L., Taira, J., Cardenas, L. and Ceferino, L., 2013. Cyclic behavior of low ductility walls considering perpendicular action. Journal of Disaster Research, 8 (2), 312-319 [Link]
Conference Publications and Reports
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Ceferino, L., Martin, A., & Bambarén, C. (2022). Hospital System Response to Earthquakes in the COVID-19 Pandemic. 12th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Lin, N., & Xi, D. (2020). Distributed Energy Resources for Disaster Resilience to Hurricanes in a Changing Climate. In American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.
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Ceferino, L., Mitrani, J., Kiremidjian, A., Deierlein, G., & Bambarén, C. (2020). Informing Emergency Response of Hospital Systems after Moderate and Large Earthquakes in Lima, Peru. The 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Liu, C., Alisjahbana, I., Patel, S., Kiremidjian, A., & Rajagopal, R. (2020). Disaster Resilience of Distributed Energy Resources. The 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. [Link]
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Markhvida, M., Cremen, G., Grujic, O., Ceferino, L., Baker, J. (2020). Methods for Evaluation and Treatment of Epistemic Uncertainty in Portfolio Losses due to Earthquakes. The 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Ibrahim, H., Javadinasab Hormozabad, S., Kijewski-Correa, T., Pilkington, S., Roueche, D., Robertson, I., Prevatt, D. (2020). Event Briefing in StEER - Hurricane Zeta. DesignSafe-CI. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Mitrani, J., Kiremidjian, A., Deierlein, G., & Bambarén, C. (2018). Computing Hospital System Resilience: A Supply-Demand Perspective. The 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Los Angeles, U.S.A. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Kiremidjian, A., & Deierlein, G. (2018). Parameter Estimation Methods for Modeling of Time and Space Interaction of Earthquake Ruptures. The 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Thessaloniki, Greece [Link]
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Miranda, E., Acosta, A., Ceferino, L., Davalos, H., Galvis, F., Gunay, S., Heresi, P., Macedo, J., Miranda, S., Ramos, J., Rojas, P., Ruiz-Garcia, J., Vera, X., Mosalam, K., Robertson, I., Roueche, D., (2019). StEER - 26 MAY 2019 Laguna Peru Earthquake: Preliminary Virtual Assessment Structural Team (P-VAST) Report” DesignSafe-CI. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Kiremidjian, A., & Deierlein, G. (2017). Space and Time Interaction Modeling of Earthquake Rupture Recurrence. The 12th International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability, Vienna, Austria. [Link]
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Markhvida, M., Ceferino, L., & Baker, J. (2017). Effect of Ground Motion Correlation on Regional Seismic Loss Estimation: Application to Lima, Peru using a Cross-correlated Principal Component Analysis. The 12th International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability, Vienna, Austria. [Link]
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Ceferino, L., Kiremidjian, A., & Deierlein, G. (2017). Framework of the Estimation of the Health Status of the Population during an Earthquake Emergency. The 16th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Santiago, Chile. [Link]